| I used October 2005 sugar as the example in this discussion because it
is a current paper trade in progress as of 10/12/04 from my Option Alert
service include with the LOW-RISK
OPTION TRADING COURSE
Taking a look at the chart above you can see the sideways price
channel at point "A". We use chart patterns and trend line
changes as signals to enter option trades. The only other indicator we
use is the two-year volatility ranking to tell us which markets are
undervalued and which are overvalued, and we get this information free
at http://www.optionetics.com
The sideways chart pattern is one of the most powerful and reliable
patterns to trade. It consists of weeks, months to sometime even years
of daily prices that trade in a tight sideways range. The daily open,
high, low, and closing prices are close to the same making trading in
the sugar pit a very dull job for floor traders. Option Implied
volatility has dropped below two-year lows on our scale because no one
is interested in buying or selling this market. This results in some
very reasonable option premiums with often a year or more until
expiration.
We had been following this sideways channel since May of 2003. Yes,
it was a long channel, but we wait for prices to break through the
channel before placing a trade. This did occur on March 22, 2004 at
point "A". We waited for prices to pullback to retest the
breakout price area before placing trades because this could have been a
false breakout.
The retest was confirmed on March 30, 2004 and we issued the order to
purchase the October 2005 Sugar 750 call option strike price for $450
with nearly eighteen-months to expiration.
About one-month later we were able to complete the free trade by
selling the now more overvalued October 2005 sugar call option with an
8.50 strike price for $470. This covers our cost for the 7.50 call we initially
purchased. There is 100 points between the two strike prices and each
point in sugar is $11.20. This translates to a maximum profit potential
of $1,120.00 if October futures is trading at or above 8.50 at option
expiration.
So what we have created is a trade that has ZERO risk of loss and has
a $1,120.00 profit potential. Pretty good odds, I'd say. Ok, I'm not
trying to sugar coat the risk here, because it's obvious that there is a
$450 + commission and fees up front risk until the free trade can be
completed. This amount is a common risk amount when trading futures
contracts so you may be comfortable with that. If not, risking one half
the cost of the trade is a good rule to follow. And you can close out
any completed free trade, option purchased or sold at anytime you wish!
You simply place an "at-the-market" or "Limit Order (your
price) to sell the 7.50 and Purchase back the 8.50 you sold. If you are
in a hurry to exit a position, use a market order because a limit order
may not be filled while a market order must be filled at some price. You
can expect some slippage using a market order. It's also VERY IMPORTANT
that your broker understands that you are closing out a position rather
than issuing a new order, so make sure your order goes on an
"OPTION TO CLOSE TICKET".
What next after the first free trade has been completed?
Price action within market trends always rally then pull back to the
long-term trend line. Our goal of free trading a trending market with
options is to enter (purchase an option) when prices pullback to the
trend line because they become more valued during a pullback as the
implied volatility drops. We sell option premium to complete free trades
as the underlying futures price rebounds higher. This increases the
demand (implied volatility) for out-of-the-money options we sell giving
us the maximum distance between the two strike prices which increases
the profit potential while still covering the trade costs.
On 05/25/04 we purchased the October 2005 Sugar
9.00 call option for $450. Now we will be looking to complete another
free trade soon if prices continue higher. However, after rallying for
nearly five months, this market is subject to a large price pullback if
long traders decide to exit.
So, what do you do when everything goes wrong and prices drop out of
site maybe even below the 7.50 call we first purchased?
Well, you could do nothing. You do not have any risk in the trade at
all! But we didn't put this trade on to breakeven. We have been in this
market since March of 2004, and it would be senseless to sit by and
watch profits dwindle away! Read those chart comments again. Those are
the same comments my members saw telling exactly what to do up there as
prices were forming the ascending triangle. If prices had broken out to
the downside of the triangle and below the up trend line, we would sell
the 9.00 call we just purchased for a small loss. If prices continued
down below the 8.50 sold call option of the first free trade, we would
liquidate it.
No, we wouldn't make as much because maximum profits are determined
at option expiration, but when the market signals a trend change on the
futures chart, we don't hesitate in jumping ship!
However, the market rallied as we expected and now we are looking to
sell the October 2005 sugar 10.00 call for between $450 and $500. But
we'll just have to see about that. It's currently, as of Friday October
08, 2004, trading at $404. We will let the charts tell us what to do.
When completing a free trade your goal
is to sell the highest strike price possible because ultimately your
profit is the difference between the two strike prices. We do not like
to sell an option to complete a free trade until we see signs that a
current rally or price decline is ending. We didn't see that until
07/25/04 (see chart) so we can now sell a much higher strike price. We
sold the 13.00 October call option for $550 to complete our second free
trade.
You simply continue to follow the
market, buy when prices retest the trend line and sell on rallies.
The free trade option strategy is by far the most stress free trading
strategy you'll ever use. It takes advantage of purchasing options when
the implied volatility is low and selling the most overvalued options
when prices move in your favor.
In my LOW-RISK
OPTION TRADING COURSE you'll find three more
powerful option strategies like the Call and put Option Spread, Ratio
Spread, and the In-the-Money Debit Spread. Each strategy is designed
to take advantage of any given market trading opportunity. For
instance, the In-the-Money Debit Spread is a low-risk option
position that accomplishes the same goal as trading a futures contract
without the unlimited risk factor! This is a perfect strategy to
consider every time you plan to go long or short a futures contract!
Don't trade another futures contract or option until you read this
strategy! How about the Ratio Option Spread Strategy. Would you
consider a trading opportunity that GUARANTEES that you make a profit
regardless of where the futures price trades? It's a very simple
strategy used at the most opportune times that you'll easily learn. This
strategy is stress free trading at its best! Also, the Call
or Put Option Spread is a very popular option strategy that we use
to lower the risk when entering a price move that has already
begun. You will learn how to use each of these option strategies
In the LOW-RISK
OPTION TRADING COURSE. Each strategy is explained in
detail using current clear chart examples of each trade example. Did
you know that many markets have very reliable seasonal price patterns?
I'll show you these patterns on charts and explain exactly how to trade
the market with options to control risk and maximize profits. In fact,
many of my course members trade seasonal patterns throughout the year exclusively
and do very well. Course members have logged a great deal
of profits this year trading seasonal patterns in July corn, July
soybeans, March 05 corn and soybeans, December live cattle, January
feeder cattle, and December lean hogs. Each of these seasonal price
patterns and option trade suggestions are reported to my course members
each week in my Low Risk Option Course, Option Alerts Service. We
scan the markets every trading day to spot opportunities to employ the
option strategies you learn from the course. Each suggested
trade is fully explained with charts and specific option strike prices
to use, clear profit objectives and risk management stops. And, we send
out special alerts anytime there are adjustments to current orders or
new opportunities arise. In short, the option alert service
which is both emailed and posted within the LOW-RISK
OPTION TRADING COURSE course members only private web
site each week, is the best way to learn to trade the strategies from
the course in real-time. I
know you'll be amazed at how simple these trading strategies are, but
more importantly you'll see just how much money you can make! Where else
can you double your money in two weeks? Don't worry if you think you
can't do it, because I know you can. In fact, I'm making my
courses available to you at absolutely no risk to you...that's how sure
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you are not sure if this business is right for you...then don't decide
now. You can get started today with as little as $98.50 and you can test
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CLICK
HERE TO READ MORE ABOUT THE LOW-RISK LIFETIME MEMBERSHIP COURSE! Remember, you
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Learning to trade commodities is not difficult. However,
if you start trading with limited knowledge, your new business is likely
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the Virtual Trading University on your side. We have proved ourselves many
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Thank you very much for reading the free trade strategy.
Please remember that this trade has been in progress since last March, so
it is not a market to enter now. However, we are watching several other
developing free trade opportunities in other markets.
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