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1. NEVER OVER TRADE
I have found that an amazingly
high percentage of traders are forced out of positions because
of over trading. Over trading tends to put traders on thin
ice, and can eat into valuable trading equity.
Experience has taught me to
always have at least 100 percent additional capital available
to protect a position. In other words, when establishing a
position, risk only ½ of your available capital to avoid over
extension or a potential margin call.
Remember, the un-predictability
of the markets is stressful in its own right-don’t add to
the stress with something you can control.
2. DON’T TRADE TO MANY
MARKETS AT THE SAME TIME
Just as you shouldn’t over
extend your capital, be cautious also not to over extend your
attention span.
Computerization has allowed us
to now watch more markets than was once possible. Regardless
of this technology, however, greed can often cause us to take
more than our mental energies will allow. Even the most
sophisticated system cannot produce the best results if you
have your hand in eight different markets.
I cannot stress the importance
of finding a personal trading niche and staying focused. The
markets are not a candy store. Successful trading requires
work. Make sure you get the best return for your efforts by
not spreading yourself to thin.
3. DON’T TREAT ALL MARKETS
THE SAME
Learn to adjust the size of
your positions and the frequency of your trades for different
markets.
In soybeans, for example, your
goal may be a 50 cent move - $2,500 per 5000 bushels - over
the next two or three months. The S&P markets, on the
other hand, frequently make the equivalent of a $2,500 move in
one day. You probably would never want to trade as many
S&P’s as soybeans unless you increase your trading
capital to accommodate such a risk.
The same is true with margin
requirements. If you are trading 5-10 bonds, it is unwise to
start trading 60 contracts of corn merely because the margin
requirements are the same.(Oh, how many times I have done this
one!) Just because you are comfortable trading 10 bonds, don’t
believe you’ll feel at ease trading 300 corn.
As you progress in your
trading, you will develop a comfort level I refer to as the
sleeping position. (An overnight position which does not
disturb your sleep). For me that would mean sleeping soundly
with 500 beans (100 contracts), but tossing and turning with
50 bonds.
Remember, don’t fit your
trading size to margin requirements. They have nothing to do
with one another. And always, always trade within your
capabilities.
4. DON’T TRADE WHEN YOU DON’T
UNDERSTAND THE MARKET
Many novice traders are
deceived into thinking that the successful trader is always in
the market. But when you don’t understand what is happening
in the market is when it is best to leave it alone. You do not
need to trade all of the time. The market will open tomorrow,
next month, and next year. There is no law that says you must
trade today.
How many times I have thought
“I really don’t know what’s going on, but the market is
acting well, I should jump in.” but the difference between
this thought and active action can be very expensive.
Keeping a safe distance from
the market is always prudent when you are in doubt. Unless you
are reasonably sure of your conviction to either buy, sell or
hold, it is better to observe the market from the sidelines
until your confidence improves.
5. NEVER TRADE PRICE-ALWAYS
TRADE THE MARKET
Once I refused to buy soybeans
because they were seven dollars. I was bullish and so was the
market, but seven dollars was a price I had never seen before
in beans. Subsequently, I watched the market go to 13 dollars.
Put your trust in the markets,
and do not be afraid when they reach historic highs or lows.
Markets are where they are for a reason. Evaluate that reason
on its own merits, and except the inherit unpredictable
qualities of speculation.
6. PAY ATTENTION TO MARKET
CONSENSUS
When too many market
participants are moving the market in any one direction, the
market becomes very vulnerable.
Also be sure to pay attention
to the makeup of these participants. For example, is the
activity due to public or commercial trading?
Never underestimate the makeup
and volume of the market participants.
7. IGNORE THE MINOR
FLUCTUATIONS AND PLACE POSITIONS IN HARMONY WITH THE BASIC
TREND
Minor daily or day today market
moves cannot be anticipated with sufficient accuracy, or
traded with any level of consistent success. Only when put in
the perspective of the basic main trend do minor fluctuations
have any significance. The key, therefore, is to ignore minor
fluctuations and to trade with the trend.
Trading against the trend and
solely to play the part of the contrarian has wiped out more
profits and traders than any other single violation of basic
trading principles. One can make many errors of judgment in
establishing positions in harmony with the basic trend of the
price movement. But to deliberately trade against the trend
requires a conviction in opinion, precise timing and price
level judgment that can be difficult for even the nimblest of
pros.
We are all in the markets to
make money, if you feel that your contrary opinion is indeed
the best way to achieve this goal, then you should follow your
instincts. But no one has made, and kept, profits by becoming
addicted to either the action in minor fluctuations or to
opposing the majority for opposition’s sake.
8. BELIEF IN YOURSELF
I think by now we all know what
this means.
THE MARKET’S ANSWER TO THE
OLD WIVES TALE: TRADING RULES TO DISREGARD
The following are some of the
most common trading rules. But sometimes the most well-
intentioned advice can be unrealistic, unproductive, or just
plain outmoded-which is how I feel about the following:
1. BUY ON THE LOW AND SELL AT
THE TOP
Guessing at reversal points can
be risky and very frustrating. Trade with the trend, and let
the market tell you by patterned reverse in direction, when it’s
over. Always buy when the market is on the way backup, and
sell when it is on the way back down.
Be sure to watch the volume of
the market carefully at Price extremes. Declining volume
usually means the market is not accepting these higher or
lower prices and could indicate a turn. A market that is
topping or bottoming out does not spend much time at the
extremes, so there will be little volume at these points. I
cannot stress the importance of daily volume enough.
Remember: let the market
determine the trend, and trade with the trend by buying on the
way up and selling on the way down.
2. ALWAYS REMAIN TRUE TO YOUR
TRADING PLAN
The only plan you should have
is a plan to know yourself and to follow the trading stop that
works best for you.
I’m not criticizing the
careful planning that goes into the development of trading
goals. Instead, I am advocating a flexibility that will not
prohibit your growth as a trader. When you establish goals for
yourself, leave room to alter your plan as it suits your
increasing knowledge of the markets.
The key to any plan is how well
it holds overtime. So be sure that the goals you develop are
reflective of who you are and what you wish to accomplish. And
always be yourself and trade naturally.
3. ONLY TRADE WITH RISK CAPITAL
AND BE AWARE OF THE RISK OF LOSING
I would never suggest to
anybody to trade with the rent money. This is a risk business,
however, and once you have decided that you are in the
financial position to open a futures account, it is best to
concentrate on trading and not on risking.
Of course in concentrating on
trading, you want to be sure to avoid spreading yourself to
thin. How often I have seen traders jeopardize the profits
from years of hard work by pyramiding a position when they
cannot truly afford it!
Be sure to accept the risk
inherit in futures, but never let greed become a substitute
for the courage to take risks.
PERSONAL BELIEFS: TRADING
RULES I DEVELOPED THROUGH MY OWN EXPERIENCE
To offer only positive or
negative responses to common trading maxims without devoting
my own personal convictions would be unfair.
My own personal trading beliefs
reflect the flexibility that I feel has contributed to my
success in over 24 years of trading. And although on the
surface they appear to be quite simple, they are principles
that nonetheless have stood the test of time over two decades
of changing markets. The difficulty is not in their concept,
but in the discipline required to implement them properly:
1. START SLOWLY
Why do beginners rush in where
experts fear to trade? Maybe it’s because novices don’t
know the dangers awaiting the unwary. There’s absolutely no
rush. The markets will be there tomorrow. Just be sure you are
there to trade them and in the proper frame of mind.
The rewards of successful
trading do not come easily. There’s a price you must pay.
There are skills you must develop. That’s why you must be
patient and allow yourself sometime.
2.LEARN FROM YOUR MISTAKES
You must never have a losing
trade and fail to ask yourself why. Maybe you were wrong in
your assessment of the market. That would be easy to correct.
But suppose you were right in your judgment of the market and
still lost money? Was your timing wrong? Did you over trade?
Did other information change your opinion? Was your management
of your account wrong? Did another position in your account
force you to liquidate? These and other questions must be
asked and answered if you are to learn and if you are to ever
turn your trading account into a profitable venture.
Never make a mistake without
asking yourself why.
3. UNDERSTAND THAT KNOWLEDGE IS
THE KEY TO SUCCESS
To trade contracts in the
soybean complex, you don’t have to be an expert on the
soybean plant. But you should know where it is grown
worldwide, crop size, export outlook, supply and demand
factors, government loan programs, etc. similarly, you don’t
need to be an economist to trade in the financial markets. But
again, you must be aware of all government reports, when they
are due, and what is expected. The exchange where a commodity
is traded will be pleased to send you all you need to get
started.
There is no book you can read
that will teach you how to trade successfully. I certainly
cannot teach you how to trade. But you must know what is going
on in the marketplace. Knowledge is one of the key ingredients
to success in this field. And the more knowledge you acquire,
I believe, the more you reduce the risk in trading.
4.LEARN TO LOOK AT ALL SIDES OF
THE MARKET
One of the best traders I know
refers to it as thinking in 180 degrees. If you are bullish
and trading from the long side, don’t ignore bearish
thinking. Being aware of the bullish thoughts as well as the
bearish ones will allow you to become more flexible and a much
better trader.
There is success to be found in
both bullish and bearish views of the market. I believe that
the trader who becomes active in both bullish and bearish
positions has more fun and finds more opportunities for
success.
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